It’s been assumed that whoever the democratic nominee is will win since Adams is extremely unpopular and so is the republican party in NY generally

Of course Cuomo running independent complicates it, and the democratic party not enthusiastically endorsing Mamdani certainly doesnt help. Then again, the party had a 30% approval rating last i checked, so maybe that actually helps…

But he’s the most popular debut candidate since AOC, so he still has a very good chance.