Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani holds a 10 point lead over Andrew Cuomo in New York City’s general election for mayor, while incumbent Mayor Eric Adams trails in fourth place behind Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa, according to a new poll.
Mamdani gets support from 35 percent of registered voters, followed by Cuomo with 25, Sliwa with 14, Adams at 11 and attorney Jim Walden at 1 percent. Thirteen percent of respondents said they weren’t sure, while 1 percent picked another candidate.
Trump can’t take NYC. Even a military/ICE takeover is off the table. Even with a 20x increase in the ICE budget. There are just too many people and not enough random masked ICE “agents”.
Just like with tariff negotiations, Trump thinks he has all the cards when he doesn’t. He wants you to think he does, though. Fascism is always weaker than it looks.
As long as he can claim some “legal” justification for it like claiming Mamdani is a communist and therefore this is an insurrection/takeover of a city that needs to be defended or declare some kind of emergency (that the courts never seem to argue. Energy emergency as we cut methods of gaining energy for example) then I think people will mostly roll over and accept it, since it’s “legal.”
It has nothing to do with legal issues. There is no practical way to impose martial law on NYC. The US military and ICE together are not big enough.