His rating is irrelevant, he can hold on to power indefinitely as long as he controls the security apparatus. Even if he allows elections which is highly unlikely, it is very easy to rig them given how nearly the entire state apparatus is under their control. So i don’t think this is why he’s doing it.

A more likely explanation for me is that this is a way of further dialing up the pressure on the Europeans, threatening to unleash a wave of migration that the already strained societies in Europe, already on the brink of economic crisis and with their own social tensions brewing, cannot afford. It’s a form of blackmail so they continue to give him a blank check.

He also knows that most of the forcefully mobilized, with rock bottom motivation and nearly non-existent training, are virtually useless at the front as anything but fodder to sit in trenches.

Worse still, this is exactly the demographic that if pushed to the brink could unleash massive protests, and, if too many of them are mobilized at once, meaning faster than they can be broken and brainwashed by the prevailing Nazi culture in the army, there is also a real threat that they could start a cascade of mutinies.

Further, there are also no jobs and no prospects for these people now which makes them even more of a powderkeg, so it is safer to unload them on the Europeans.

His only hope is for the Europeans to put boots on the ground and send their actual militaries, because that is the only way to replenish his now all but depleted stock of real, professional soldiers. He needs to continue to find ways to drag Europe deeper and deeper into the conflict.